ODFL Price & AI Analysis — Old Dominion Freight Line Inc | HeyTheo
OD
ODFLNASDAQ— Old Dominion Freight Line Inc Price & Analysis
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
INDUSTRIALS — TRUCKING
$248.73
+$1.72+0.70%
Market Cap
46.8241B
Large Cap
P/E Ratio
46.91
Fwd: 43.86
EPS (TTM)
$4.8
Div. Yield
0.51%
Theo Outlook
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) trades at a premium valuation with a $49.1B market cap, trailing P/E of 49.28, and EPS of $4.79, reflecting its leadership in the less-than-truckload (LTL) sector despite recent headwinds. Quarterly revenue declined 2.9% and earnings fell 4.2% year-over-year, yet the company maintains an impressive 18.5% profit margin and 23.3% ROE, underscoring operational efficiency in a cyclical industry.
Key catalysts include expansion of logistics services such as expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, and truckload brokerage, alongside potential market share gains as e-commerce and manufacturing activity recover. Analyst consensus targets $216.14 per share, implying meaningful upside, supported by the company's diversified offerings beyond core LTL shipping.
Risks center on macroeconomic slowdowns reducing freight volumes, intense competition from larger carriers, and regulatory pressures on trucking. These are mitigated by ODFL's strong balance sheet, high barriers to entry in LTL networks, and proven ability to sustain margins through cost discipline and service diversification. Analysis generated by HeyTheo AI based on SEC filings, earnings transcripts, and market data.
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Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is an American less than truckload shipping (LTL) company. It offers regional, inter-regional and national LTL service. In addition to its core LTL services, the company offers logistics services including ground and air expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, transportation management, truckload brokerage, container delivery and warehousing, as well as household moving services.
Fundamental Snapshot
Revenue
5.4562B
EBITDA
1.7082B
Gross Profit
2.125B
Operating Margin
23.8%
Profit Margin
18.5%
ROE
23.3%
Book Value
$21.14
Beta
1.172
52-Wk High
$233.79
52-Wk Low
$125.59
Avg Volume
1.9778M
PEG Ratio
3.211
Trading Data
Open
$247.58
Previous Close
$247.01
Day Range
$241.615 – $252.03
Volume
1.5411M
Shares Outstanding
207.968M
Analyst Target
$212.64
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Old Dominion Freight Line's business model?
Old Dominion Freight Line operates as a less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier providing regional, inter-regional, and national shipping services. It also offers logistics solutions including expedited transport, supply chain consulting, warehousing, and brokerage, generating revenue primarily through freight hauling fees.
What are ODFL's main revenue sources?
The company derives the majority of its $5.46B TTM revenue from core LTL shipping, with growing contributions from logistics services such as ground/air expedited, transportation management, and container delivery. Profit margin stands at 18.5% on this diversified base.
What competitive advantages does ODFL have?
ODFL benefits from a dense terminal network, high service reliability, and operational scale that creates barriers for new entrants. Its 23.3% ROE and 0.185 profit margin demonstrate superior efficiency compared to peers, supported by a beta of 1.17 and 82.7% institutional ownership.
What are the key risks for ODFL investors?
Primary risks include economic downturns cutting freight demand (evident in -2.9% quarterly revenue growth), competition, and fuel/regulation costs. The 49.28 trailing P/E leaves little margin for error, though strong cash generation and 0.49% dividend yield provide some buffer.
What is the growth outlook for ODFL?
Analysts see upside to a $216.14 target price amid potential LTL market recovery and logistics expansion. Forward P/E of 44.64 and recent 52-week range of $125.43-$236.84 suggest growth potential if volume trends improve, tempered by current negative earnings momentum.
